Thursday 8 March 2007

Breaktime almost over in the North of Ireland

We should soon know the full results for the elections taking place in the six counties.
It will come as no real shock when the DUP and Sinn Fein both make further advances.
How any in their right mind thinks a devolved executive is going to formed in these circumstances is beyond me. I don't see Paisley changing the habit of a lifetime and becoming a convert to reason and compromise. I can't see the Republican Community accepting Gerry Adams making a deal with Paisley either. If they do, then hardliners will defect further to the Real IRA and the Continuity IRA.
The polls put the DUP on 25% and Sinn Fein on about 22%. The SDLP trail on about19 and the UUP are on 16%. Bearing in mind Six counties polls always underestimate support for the extreme parties, the real results will probably be a lot worse for the centre ground.

The Good Friday agreement was nine years ago and the deadlock drifts on. Fact is, that the two communities both want peace, but no one wants to pay the price. For both sides, it is too much to pay. Myself, I never saw it working back then- look at history. Sunningdale was the same false dawn in 1973.
If Sinn Fein move further away from their traditional position, then the breakaway Republican groups WILL take their place, just as the DUP has replaced the UUP.
NO SURRENDER will always be a powerful cry in the North of Ireland to both Loyalists and Nationalists.

This is just the calm before the storm.

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